Analytici Deutsche Bank v pondelok uviedli, \u017ee skrotenie infl\u00e1cie by mohlo vies\u0165 k ove\u013ea vy\u0161\u0161ej nezamestnanosti v USA, ne\u017e o\u010dak\u00e1va Feder\u00e1lny rezervn\u00fd syst\u00e9m.<\/p>\n
Boj Fedu proti infl\u00e1cii je u\u017e teraz bolestiv\u00fd pre mnoh\u00fdch Ameri\u010danov, ktor\u00ed z\u00e1pasia s prudk\u00fdm n\u00e1rastom \u00farokov\u00fdch sadzieb v d\u00f4sledku pokra\u010duj\u00faceho zvy\u0161ovania sadzieb Feder\u00e1lnym rezervn\u00fdm syst\u00e9mom, ako aj s najprud\u0161ou infl\u00e1ciou za \u0161tyridsa\u0165 rokov. Dosta\u0165 v\u00fddavky pod kontrolu si v\u0161ak bude vy\u017eadova\u0165 \u201cove\u013ea lep\u0161iu nezamestnanos\u0165\u201d, ako je progn\u00f3za Fedu na \u00farovni 4,4% v bud\u00facom roku, uviedla Deutsche Bank vo varovan\u00ed pre spotrebite\u013eov.<\/p>\n
V septembri dosiahla miera nezamestnanosti 3,51 TP3T \u2013 najni\u017e\u0161iu hodnotu od febru\u00e1ra 2020, teda kr\u00e1tko predt\u00fdm, ako pand\u00e9mia zasiahla finan\u010dn\u00fd syst\u00e9m a sp\u00f4sobila rozsiahle straty pracovn\u00fdch miest.<\/p>\n
Po s\u00e9rii zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed sadzieb z hazardn\u00fdch hier v tomto roku zo strany predstavite\u013eov Fedu by sa miera nezamestnanosti mohla v bud\u00facom roku zv\u00fd\u0161i\u0165 na 6%, pod\u013ea progn\u00f3zy Deutsche Bank. Na z\u00e1klade s\u00fa\u010dasnej pracovnej sily v krajine, ktor\u00e1 m\u00e1 164 mili\u00f3nov \u013eud\u00ed, to nazna\u010duje nedostatok pribli\u017ene \u0161tyroch mili\u00f3nov pracovn\u00fdch miest odteraz do konca roka 2023, ke\u010f ekon\u00f3movia o\u010dak\u00e1vaj\u00fa, \u017ee USA vst\u00fapia do recesie.<\/p>\n
Prieskum medzi obchodn\u00fdmi ekon\u00f3mami v pondelok jeden po druhom zistil, \u017ee viac ako polovica z nich ver\u00ed, \u017ee krajina pravdepodobne vst\u00fapi do recesie v priebehu nasleduj\u00facich 365 dn\u00ed; 11% ver\u00ed, \u017ee spomalenie sa u\u017e za\u010dalo, pod\u013ea N\u00e1rodnej asoci\u00e1cie obchodn\u00fdch ekon\u00f3mov.<\/p>\n
Pred pand\u00e9miou naposledy finan\u010dn\u00fd syst\u00e9m vyk\u00e1zal mieru nezamestnanosti 6% v roku 2014, ke\u010f sa Spojen\u00e9 \u0161t\u00e1ty na\u010falej zotavovali z ve\u013ekej recesie. In\u00fdmi slovami, boles\u0165 potrebn\u00e1 na zn\u00ed\u017eenie infl\u00e1cie sa d\u00e1 odstr\u00e1ni\u0165 \u201cm\u00e4kk\u00fdm prist\u00e1t\u00edm\u201d, o ktor\u00e9 sa Fed sna\u017e\u00ed.<\/p>\n
\u201cNa\u0161a aktualizovan\u00e1 anal\u00fdza na\u010falej poukazuje na potrebu prud\u0161ieho n\u00e1rastu nezamestnanosti, ne\u017e ak\u00fd uv\u00e1dzaj\u00fa najnov\u0161ie projekcie Fedu na september,\u201d uviedla finan\u010dn\u00e1 in\u0161tit\u00facia Deutsche Bank.<\/p>\n
\u00a9 Poskytnut\u00e9 s pomocou CBS News. Infl\u00e1cia v tomto sviato\u010dnom obdob\u00ed pre Ameri\u010danov prudko rastie, cestovn\u00e9 v\u00fddavky rast\u00fa, akcie prudko rast\u00fa. 01:40<\/p>\n
Pod projekciou Fedu by pri\u0161lo o pr\u00e1cu pribli\u017ene 1,2 mili\u00f3na \u013eud\u00ed, ke\u010f\u017ee n\u00e1klady na nezamestnanos\u0165 dosiahnu 4,4%.<\/p>\n
Ekon\u00f3movia Deutsche Bank v\u0161ak v podstate akceptuj\u00fa, \u017ee zn\u00ed\u017eenie infl\u00e1cie na cie\u013eov\u00fa \u00farove\u0148 Fedu okolo 41 TP3T do konca roka 2024 by si vy\u017eadovalo v\u00e4\u010d\u0161\u00ed n\u00e1rast nezamestnanosti, ne\u017e o\u010dak\u00e1va prim\u00e1rna banka.<\/p>\n
Zv\u00fd\u0161enie nezamestnanosti m\u00f4\u017ee pom\u00f4c\u0165 obmedzi\u0165 infl\u00e1ciu, preto\u017ee novo nezamestnan\u00ed a ich rodiny zvy\u010dajne op\u00e4\u0165 zni\u017euj\u00fa v\u00fddavky. Pri v\u00e4\u010d\u0161om uvo\u013enen\u00ed na trhu pr\u00e1ce nemusia zamestn\u00e1vatelia zvy\u0161ova\u0165 mzdy, aby mohli s\u00fa\u0165a\u017ei\u0165 o kvalifikovan\u00fdch pracovn\u00edkov, ktor\u00fdch zru\u010dnosti sa vyrovn\u00e1vaj\u00fa rastom miezd. Bez stimulu zvy\u0161ova\u0165 mzdy sa spolo\u010dnosti m\u00f4\u017eu zdr\u017ea\u0165 zvy\u0161ovania n\u00e1kladov. Na z\u00e1klade ekonomick\u00e9ho konceptu by tieto trendy mali spolo\u010dne p\u00f4sobi\u0165 smerom k postupnej infl\u00e1cii.<\/p>\n
Iste, hoci by to mohlo v koncepte fungova\u0165, mohlo by to vies\u0165 k skuto\u010dn\u00fdm ekonomick\u00fdm probl\u00e9mom pre hory alebo dokonca desiatky mili\u00f3nov americk\u00fdch rod\u00edn.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Domar a infla\u00e7\u00e3o pode levar a um desemprego nos EUA muito maior do que o que o Federal Reserve est\u00e1 esperando, disseram analistas do Deutsche Bank nesta segunda-feira. O combate do Fed contra a infla\u00e7\u00e3o j\u00e1 est\u00e1 se mostrando doloroso para muitos americanos, que est\u00e3o lutando com um salto nas taxas de empr\u00e9stimos devido aos […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-565","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","category-economia"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/noticias-gerais.online\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/565","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/noticias-gerais.online\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/noticias-gerais.online\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noticias-gerais.online\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noticias-gerais.online\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=565"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/noticias-gerais.online\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/565\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/noticias-gerais.online\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=565"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noticias-gerais.online\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=565"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noticias-gerais.online\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=565"}],"curies":[{"name":"pracovn\u00fd list","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}