{"id":571,"date":"2022-10-27T22:29:05","date_gmt":"2022-10-28T01:29:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/noticias-gerais.online\/?p=571"},"modified":"2023-02-21T23:33:15","modified_gmt":"2023-02-22T02:33:15","slug":"o-clima-economico-sem-duvida-cresceu-em-um-ritmo-honesto-no-terceiro-trimestre-mas-os-economistas-veem-o-obstaculo-a-frente","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/noticias-gerais.online\/sk\/o-clima-economico-sem-duvida-cresceu-em-um-ritmo-honesto-no-terceiro-trimestre-mas-os-economistas-veem-o-obstaculo-a-frente\/","title":{"rendered":"Ekonomick\u00e1 kl\u00edma sa v tre\u0165om \u0161tvr\u0165roku nepochybne zlep\u0161ila slu\u0161n\u00fdm tempom \u2013 ekon\u00f3movia v\u0161ak vidia v bud\u00facnosti prek\u00e1\u017eku."},"content":{"rendered":"

Toto v\u00e1s mo\u017eno prekvap\u00ed: predpoklad\u00e1 sa, \u017ee americk\u00e1 ekonomika za tri mesiace od j\u00fala do septembra vzrastie ro\u010dn\u00fdm tempom presahuj\u00facim 21 TP3T.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vzh\u013eadom na pretrv\u00e1vaj\u00facu bolestivo nadmern\u00fa infl\u00e1ciu a zdanlivo mierne n\u00e1znaky ekonomick\u00e9ho pesimizmu \u2013 hoci v\u017edy preru\u0161ovan\u00e9 siln\u00fdmi spr\u00e1vami o zamestnanosti \u2013 m\u00f4\u017ee by\u0165 progn\u00f3za rastu na tret\u00ed \u0161tvr\u0165rok ove\u013ea vy\u0161\u0161ia, ne\u017e by mnoh\u00ed o\u010dak\u00e1vali.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vl\u00e1dny prim\u00e1rny odhad hrub\u00e9ho dom\u00e1ceho produktu za tieto mesiace bude zverejnen\u00fd vo \u0161tvrtok a ekon\u00f3movia vo ve\u013ekej miere o\u010dak\u00e1vaj\u00fa, \u017ee v podstate uk\u00e1\u017ee o\u017eivenie zo stagnuj\u00facej prvej polovice roka. Re\u00e1lny HDP sa v druhom \u0161tvr\u0165roku zn\u00ed\u017eil na ro\u010dn\u00e9 n\u00e1klady 0,61 TP3T po poklese o 1,61 TP3T v prv\u00fdch 12 mesiacoch. Tieto dva po sebe id\u00face \u0161tvr\u0165roky poklesu podnietili f\u00e1my, \u017ee ekonomika by technicky mohla by\u0165 v recesii, a to aj napriek pretrv\u00e1vaj\u00facej energii trhu pr\u00e1ce a r\u00f4znym indik\u00e1torom, ktor\u00e9 viedli ekon\u00f3mov k v\u0161eobecn\u00e9mu s\u00fahlasu s t\u00fdm, \u017ee sme sa tomuto typu spomalenia vyhli.<\/span><\/p>\n

Obavy o smerovanie finan\u010dn\u00e9ho syst\u00e9mu v\u0161ak pretrv\u00e1vali \u2013 napriek tomu Feder\u00e1lna rezervn\u00e1 banka Atlanty predpoklad\u00e1, \u017ee ekonomick\u00e1 kl\u00edma v \u0161tvr\u0165roku j\u00fal \u2013 september r\u00e1stla tempom presahuj\u00facim 2,91 TP3T. Ekon\u00f3movia Goldman Sachs odhaduj\u00fa, \u017ee HDP r\u00e1stol ro\u010dne tempom 2,41 TP3T, zatia\u013e \u010do konsenzu\u00e1lna progn\u00f3za ekon\u00f3mov osloven\u00fdch agent\u00farou Reuters je na n\u00e1rast o 2,11 TP3T.<\/span><\/p>\n

T\u00e1to suma HDP jednoducho klesne sk\u00f4r, ako kampa\u0148 dosiahne svoj vrchol \u2013 a ak sa zhoduje aj s najni\u017e\u0161ou z t\u00fdchto progn\u00f3z, bude to pravdepodobne znamena\u0165 v\u00edtan\u00e9 ekonomick\u00e9 spr\u00e1vy pre prezidenta Joea Bidena a demokratov.<\/span><\/p>\n

Siln\u00e1 bilancia v\u0161ak neznamen\u00e1, \u017ee ekonomika je v poriadku, a ekon\u00f3movia s\u00fa \u010doraz pesimistickej\u0161\u00ed v tom, \u017ee USA by mali by\u0165 schopn\u00e9 vyhn\u00fa\u0165 sa recesii, vzh\u013eadom na kri\u017eiacku v\u00fdpravu Feder\u00e1lneho rezervn\u00e9ho syst\u00e9mu za zvy\u0161ovanie sadzieb s cie\u013eom obmedzi\u0165 infl\u00e1ciu. \u201cBezprostredn\u00fd vplyv lep\u0161\u00edch sadzieb a priaznivej\u0161ieho dol\u00e1ra na HDP je obrovsk\u00fd,\u201d uviedli ekon\u00f3movia z Jeffries Aneta Markowska a Thomas Simons v \u010dl\u00e1nku zverejnenom CNN.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pr\u00edbeh pokra\u010duje.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nov\u00fd v\u00fdskum vykonan\u00fd s pomocou n\u00e1rodnej pobo\u010dky firmy Economics zistil, \u017ee pribli\u017ene dve tretiny respondentov tvrdia, \u017ee krajina je u\u017e v recesii alebo do nej pravdepodobne upadne v priebehu bud\u00faceho roka. \u201cPrieskum medzi 55 respondentmi z NABE, ktor\u00fd sa uskuto\u010dnil od 3. do 10. okt\u00f3bra, tie\u017e nazna\u010dil ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed dopyt, zmiernenie nap\u00e4tia na trhu pr\u00e1ce a mierne zmiernenie cenov\u00fdch tlakov,\u201d uv\u00e1dza sa v \u00fadajoch agent\u00fary Bloomberg.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zhrnutie: Spr\u00e1va o HDP z tohto t\u00fd\u017ed\u0148a m\u00f4\u017ee tie\u017e odhali\u0165 boom v po\u010dte \u017eal\u00f4b, ale rast\u00fa obavy, \u017ee Fed vo v\u0161eobecnosti nie je schopn\u00fd predpoveda\u0165 \u201cjemn\u00fd pr\u00edstup\u201d, v ktor\u00fd d\u00fafal, a \u017ee ekonomick\u00e1 kl\u00edma v roku 2023 pravdepodobne zaznamen\u00e1 pokles.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u00e1\u010dilo sa v\u00e1m, \u010do \u0161tuduje\u0161? Zaregistrujte sa na odber na\u0161ej bezplatnej publik\u00e1cie.<\/span><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Isso pode surpreend\u00ea-lo: a economia dos EUA dever\u00e1 ter crescido a um pre\u00e7o anual superior a 2% nos tr\u00eas meses de julho a setembro. Dada a persist\u00eancia de uma infla\u00e7\u00e3o dolorosamente excessiva e o que parece ser uma batida suave de pessimismo econ\u00f4mico \u2013 apesar de sempre pontuada por poderosos relat\u00f3rios de empregos \u2013 a […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-571","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","category-economia"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/noticias-gerais.online\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/571","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/noticias-gerais.online\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/noticias-gerais.online\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noticias-gerais.online\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noticias-gerais.online\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=571"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/noticias-gerais.online\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/571\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/noticias-gerais.online\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=571"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noticias-gerais.online\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=571"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noticias-gerais.online\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=571"}],"curies":[{"name":"pracovn\u00fd list","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}