{"id":874,"date":"2023-01-12T07:12:23","date_gmt":"2023-01-12T10:12:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/noticias-gerais.online\/?p=874"},"modified":"2026-07-21T15:32:10","modified_gmt":"2026-07-21T18:32:10","slug":"banco-mundial-adverte-que-sistema-economico-global-pode-entrar-em-recessao-em-2023","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/noticias-gerais.online\/tr\/banco-mundial-adverte-que-sistema-economico-global-pode-entrar-em-recessao-em-2023\/","title":{"rendered":"D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131, k\u00fcresel ekonomik sistemin 2023 y\u0131l\u0131nda durgunlu\u011fa girebilece\u011fi konusunda uyar\u0131da bulundu."},"content":{"rendered":"<p>K\u00fcresel finans kurumu Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc, bankac\u0131l\u0131k maliyetlerindeki \u00f6nemli art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n etkisinin yo\u011funla\u015fmas\u0131, Rusya&#039;n\u0131n Ukrayna&#039;daki sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n devam etmesi ve d\u00fcnyan\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck finans motorlar\u0131n\u0131n t\u00f6kezlemesi nedeniyle, 2023 i\u00e7in \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminlerini bir\u00e7ok \u00fclke i\u00e7in neredeyse durgunluk seviyelerine indirdi.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130n\u015faat kredisi veren kurulu\u015f, 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in uluslararas\u0131 GSY\u0130H b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin 1,71 trilyon dolar olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc, bunun 2009 ve 2020 durgunluklar\u0131 d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda 1993&#039;ten bu yana en yava\u015f b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 oldu\u011funu belirtti. Banka, Haziran 2022 tarihli g\u00fcncelli\u011fini yitirmi\u015f uluslararas\u0131 ekonomik f\u0131rsatlar dosyas\u0131nda, 2023 i\u00e7in uluslararas\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi 3,0 trilyon dolar olarak \u00f6ng\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n<p>Uluslararas\u0131 arz\u0131n 2024&#039;te 2,71 milyon ton\/trilyona ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc (2022 i\u00e7in yap\u0131lan 2,91 milyon ton\/trilyonluk tahminden daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck) ve 2020-2024 d\u00f6nemi i\u00e7in ortalama b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131n 21 milyon ton\/trilyondan az olabilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi; bu da 1960&#039;tan beri g\u00f6r\u00fclen en yava\u015f 5 y\u0131ll\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor.<\/p>\n<p>Bankan\u0131n belirtti\u011fine g\u00f6re, \u00f6nde gelen ekonomilerde \u00f6nemli yava\u015flamalar ya\u015fand\u0131; bu durum, ABD i\u00e7in 0,51 trilyon dolarl\u0131k GSY\u0130H tahmininde keskin bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe ve Euro b\u00f6lgesinin istikrarl\u0131 GSY\u0130H beklentisine yol a\u00e7t\u0131. Bu da son k\u00fcresel durgunlu\u011fun \u00fczerinden \u00fc\u00e7 y\u0131ldan az bir s\u00fcre ge\u00e7tikten sonra yeni bir k\u00fcresel durgunlu\u011fun habercisi olabilir.<\/p>\n<p>CONSTELLATION, INC. \u015firketinin ticari markalar\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cFinans kurumu, ba\u015fvuruya e\u015flik eden bas\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131nda, &quot;K\u0131r\u0131lgan ekonomik ko\u015fullar g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, beklenenden y\u00fcksek enflasyon, bunu kar\u015f\u0131lamak i\u00e7in faiz oranlar\u0131nda ani art\u0131\u015flar, COVID-19 pandemisinin yeniden ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 veya jeopolitik gerilimlerin t\u0131rmanmas\u0131 gibi herhangi bir yeni kar\u015f\u0131t unsur, k\u00fcresel finans sistemini durgunlu\u011fa itebilir&quot; dedi.<\/p>\n<p>Yerel bankan\u0131n belirtti\u011fine g\u00f6re, kasvetli g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm \u00f6zellikle y\u00fckselen piyasalar ve geli\u015fmekte olan ekonomiler i\u00e7in zorlu olacak; zira bu \u00fclkeler y\u00fcksek bor\u00e7, k\u0131r\u0131lgan para birimleri, h\u0131zla artan karlar ve yava\u015flayan i\u015fletme yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131yla m\u00fccadele ediyor. \u0130\u015fletme yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki iki y\u0131l i\u00e7inde y\u0131ll\u0131k %3,51&#039;lik bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131yla b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi bekleniyor ki bu da son iki y\u0131l\u0131n h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131n yar\u0131s\u0131ndan daha az.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cD\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131 Ba\u015fkan\u0131 David Malpass, bas\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131nda, &quot;\u0130\u015fletme b\u00fcy\u00fcmesindeki ve finansman\u0131ndaki zay\u0131fl\u0131k, e\u011fitim, sa\u011fl\u0131k, yoksulluk ve altyap\u0131daki zaten y\u0131k\u0131c\u0131 olan gerilemeleri ve iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011finin artan taleplerini daha da k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015ftirecektir&quot; dedi.<\/p>\n<p>\u00c7in&#039;in finans kurumunun yay\u0131nlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir belgeye g\u00f6re, 2022&#039;deki b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131, COVID-19 k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131, emlak piyasas\u0131ndaki t\u00fcrb\u00fclans ve kurakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n t\u00fcketim, \u00fcretim ve yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 etkiledi\u011fi 2020&#039;den bu yana en yava\u015f ikinci b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 olan toplam b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131n\u0131n (TP3) %2,71&#039;ine geriledi. Belge, 2023 i\u00e7in toplam b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131n\u0131n (TP3) %4,31&#039;ine bir toparlanma \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor, ancak bu, COVID-19&#039;un yol a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131 aksakl\u0131klar\u0131n \u015fiddeti ve zay\u0131flayan d\u0131\u015f talep nedeniyle Haziran ay\u0131ndaki tahminin 0,9 puan alt\u0131nda kal\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Merkez bankas\u0131, 2022 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n sonuna do\u011fru enerji ve emtia fiyatlar\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle birlikte enflasyon bask\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n bir miktar azalmaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kaydetti, ancak son d\u00f6nemdeki arz aksamalar\u0131ndan kaynaklanan risklerin y\u00fcksek oldu\u011fu ve y\u00fcksek merkez enflasyonunun da devam edebilece\u011fi konusunda uyard\u0131. A\u00e7\u0131klamada, bunun ilgili bankalar\u0131n politika faizlerini \u015fu anda beklenenden daha fazla art\u0131rarak tepki vermesine ve k\u00fcresel yava\u015flamay\u0131 daha da k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015ftirmesine neden olabilece\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n<p>Banka, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck k\u00e2r marj\u0131na sahip \u00fclkelerin g\u0131da ve enerji \u015foklar\u0131yla, arazi kullan\u0131m \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 nedeniyle yerinden edilen insanlarla ve artan bor\u00e7 krizi riskiyle ba\u015fa \u00e7\u0131kmalar\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131 olmak i\u00e7in uluslararas\u0131 gruptan daha fazla yard\u0131m talep etti. Raporda, yerel iklim adaptasyonuna, insan sermayesine ve sa\u011fl\u0131\u011fa yap\u0131lan yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 art\u0131rmak i\u00e7in yeni imtiyazl\u0131 finansman ve taahh\u00fctlerin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra yerel sermayenin ve malzemelerin \u00e7o\u011funun kullan\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekti\u011finden bahsedildi\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n<p>Bu rapor, D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131 y\u00f6netim kurulunun bu hafta, kurumun yerel iklim ve di\u011fer k\u00fcresel krizlere y\u00f6nelik kredi verme kapasitesini geni\u015fletmeyi ama\u00e7layan yeni bir &quot;evrim yol haritas\u0131n\u0131&quot; kabul etmesinin beklendi\u011fi bir d\u00f6nemde yay\u0131nland\u0131. Plan, II. D\u00fcnya Sava\u015f\u0131&#039;n\u0131n sonunda kurulu\u015fundan bu yana bankan\u0131n i\u015f modelinde yap\u0131lacak en b\u00fcy\u00fck revizyonu \u00f6ng\u00f6ren ve ABD liderli\u011findeki hissedarlarla yap\u0131lacak m\u00fczakerelerin ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131n\u0131 i\u015faret edecek.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A institui\u00e7\u00e3o financeira mundial reduziu suas previs\u00f5es de boom para 2023 nesta ter\u00e7a-feira para n\u00edveis pr\u00f3ximos da recess\u00e3o para muitos pa\u00edses, \u00e0 medida que o impacto de importantes aumentos nos custos banc\u00e1rios se intensifica, a guerra da R\u00fassia na Ucr\u00e2nia continua e os principais motores financeiros do mundo cuspir. O credor da constru\u00e7\u00e3o disse que [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":6890,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-874","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economia"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/noticias-gerais.online\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/874","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/noticias-gerais.online\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/noticias-gerais.online\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noticias-gerais.online\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noticias-gerais.online\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=874"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/noticias-gerais.online\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/874\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6891,"href":"https:\/\/noticias-gerais.online\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/874\/revisions\/6891"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noticias-gerais.online\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6890"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/noticias-gerais.online\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=874"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noticias-gerais.online\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=874"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noticias-gerais.online\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=874"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}